4 Precursor Mission Design 4.9 Outline of the Business Concept

4.9.3 Risk Analysis

This section addresses the risks involved in the outlined business and how these risks are mitigated and managed.
There are a lot of possible risks that can appear: technical, business, human, economic and political. Table 4-7 shows the main system risk problems for the LRRCompany. To mitigate these risks, five main methods of prevention are defined. The column Solving explains the methods of prevention of these possible problems.

  • Control means that if company wants to reduce problems it has to control steps according to the problem
      
  • Simulate means that the company should create the model of this system for increasing the reliability.
      
  • Negotiation means that the main influential method for controlling of this problem is negotiation.

Table 4-7: Summary and Solving Methods of Risk Problems

Problems of the system level
Range Solving

Technical
      

Ground risk
Participants fail to finish design on time 4 Control
Non quality rover (testing) 3 Some test stages
Spacecraft design is delayed the schedule 3 Test,simulate
Media rover design is delayed the schedule 3 Test,simulate

Transfer risk
Launch failure 5 Reliability-main criteria
Inaccurate transfer 4-5 Test
Descent failure 4 Simulate

Luna risk
Rover failure during the race 3-4 Test
Media Rover failure 3-4 Test
Communication failure 3 Test

Political
     
Technology transfer is infriged (policy,cost) 2 Control
Non-consensus by different investors'decisions 2 Negociation
Difficulties in international cooperation 3 Negociation
Prohibits in international law 3 Create

Business
Patenting prohibits easy and cheap using technology 2 To make rules
Not enough participants 4 Advertisement
Insurance 2 Negociation
Less public support 3 Advertisement

Management
     
Management difficulties 2 Control
No strong financial list 2 Control


Range

  • The event is highly likely to be prevented.
     
  • The event may be prevented without additional measurements.
     
  • The event may be prevented, but additional actions will be required.
     
  • The event cannot be prevented, but a different approach or process might be adopted or used.
     
  • The event cannot be prevented, no alternate approach or processes are available.

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